
Lead Stories
The Rich Boys
An ultra-secretive network rules independent oil trading. Its mentor: Marc Rich
One brisk day last fall, globe-trotting oil executive Benjamin R. Pollner was leaving his luxury prewar apartment building on
http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/05_29/b3943080.htm
Hedge fund performance anemic in first half of 2005
S&P’s hedge fund index inches into positive territory
http://www.investmentexecutive.com/client/en/News/DetailNews.asp?Id=29602&IdSection=1&cat=1
Barclay Group: Hedge Funds and CTAs Strong in June
Barclay/GHS Index Up 1.79%, CTAs Up 1.56%
Normal trading resumes on London Metal Exchange; UBS to reopen office near blast site
http://www.investmentexecutive.com/client/en/News/DetailNews.asp?Id=29595&IdSection=15&cat=15
Market Risk - Terror Impact on Financial Markets Diminishes with Experience
http://www.garp.com/risknews/newsfeed.asp?Category=6&MyFile=2005-07-11-11132.html
Media See Hedge Fund Managers Smarter Than Mutual Funds
Financial journalists overwhelmingly believe that hedge fund managers are smarter about the markets than their mutual fund counterparts, though there is growing sentiment that hedge funds are charging too much and growing too fast.
http://biz.yahoo.com/bw/050711/115094.html?.v=1
Exchange Sets Volume Record for e-miNYsm Futures Contracts
http://www.nymex.com/jsp/news/press_releas.jsp?id=pr20050708a
Watchdog delays LSE takeover findings again
Last month the Commission said it planned to release provisional findings from its investigation in mid-July but a spokesman for the watchdog said the report was now due for publication in the week ending 29 July.
The Commission had originally planned to release its findings in early July.
Nasdaq to transfer control of OTC market to NASD
New York, July 8 (Reuters) - Nasdaq Stock Market Inc. (NDAQ.O: Quote, Profile, Research) on Friday said it plans to move its Over-the-Counter Bulletin Board (OTCBB) business made up of thinly traded stocks to the NASD, the brokerage regulator that still controls it. The move is part of an effort to restructure Nasdaq to help it achieve stock exchange status, Nasdaq said.
Waddell sees bright future from storied past
No one has written a definitive history of Waddell & Reed Financial Inc. so far as new CEO Henry "Hank" Herrmann knows.
The past three months alone, which have seen the
http://www.bizjournals.com/kansascity/stories/2005/07/11/focus5.html?from_rss=1
Deutsche Boerse's Breuer says CEO candidate reports 'all wrong'
http://www.sharewatch.com/story.php?storynumber=73249
Deutsche Boerse to seek appointment of new supervisory board members next week
FRANKFURT (AFX) - Deutsche Boerse AG will in the next few days ask a
http://www.iii.co.uk/news/?type=afxnews&articleid=5348414&subject=companies&action=article
LSE leader at centre of an unusual tug-of-war
Ms Furse, 47, took the helm of the LSE in 2001 just after its shareholders - who were also its users - rejected a merger...
http://news.ft.com/cms/s/217fcf92-f1a8-11d9-9c3e-00000e2511c8.html
Environmental Trading News
For
Prices of the paper used to make inexpensive reading material ranging from newspapers to flyers are running at about $605 a ton, up roughly 10 percent from a year ago. As one of the major costs in publishing -- about 15 percent of cash expenses -- newsprint is causing financial headaches for companies whose shares are already underperforming the broader stock market by an average of 11 percent.
Exchange & ECN News
International Securities Exchange Announces New Time for July 28, 2005 Conference Call
http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=176358&p=irol-newsArticle&ID=728249&highlight=
Exchange to List Additional Year of Coal Futures Contracts
http://www.nymex.com/jsp/news/press_releas.jsp?id=pr20050708b
System Documentation (EULA) Changes for the Electronic Submission of Orders to NYMEX including NYMEX miNY(sm) Futures Contracts on NYMEX ClearPort® Trading
http://www.nymex.com/jsp/shareholder/notice_to_member.jsp?id=ntm282&archive=2005
Amendments to COMEX Division Rule 104.36, Exchange for Physicals
http://www.nymex.com/jsp/shareholder/notice_to_member.jsp?id=ntm276&archive=2005
Amendments to Exchange Rule 8.55 (A)(23): Failure to Supervise
http://www.nymex.com/jsp/shareholder/notice_to_member.jsp?id=ntm275&archive=2005
Amendments to Rule 6.90, Trading Card Procedures, Regarding Submission of EFPs by Clerks
http://www.nymex.com/jsp/shareholder/notice_to_member.jsp?id=ntm274&archive=2005
Revision to Rule 300.08 ??? Notice of Exercise
http://www.nymex.com/jsp/shareholder/notice_to_member.jsp?id=ntm273&archive=2005
One New Listing Joins the NYSE in the Week Ended July 8
http://www.nyse.com/press/1120819473321.html
Gaz de France Euronext listing a huge success
http://www.euronext.com/news/press_releases/0,4159,1732_8275,00.html
Ifa Systems Starts Trading in the Regulated Unofficial Market at the
IIC Licenses iTraxx Indices to Eurex for European iTraxx Credit Derivatives
Eurex and International Index Company to leverage CDS index benchmark success/ Launch of the first exchange-listed credit derivative products planned
Monthly Market report for June 2005
http://www.londonstockexchange.com/en-gb/about/Newsroom/Market+Reports/2005/Jul05MMR.htm
2006 Cycle 3 LEAPS® Rollover
http://www.888options.com/desk/leaps_data/2006_leap_rollover_cycle3.xls
SGX reprimands Khoo sisters for breaching rules
Two daughters of the late tycoon Khoo Teck Puat have been taken to task by the Singapore Exchange for failing to discharge their duties as directors of listed firms.
http://www.channelnewsasia.com/stories/singaporebusinessnews/view/157002/1/.html
Amex Lists Merrill Lynch 8% Strategic Return Notes Linked to the CBOE S&P 500 BuyWrite Index
http://www.amex.com/atamex/news/press/sn_BXA_070805.htm
TradeWeb 2nd Quarter Volume Tops $10 Trillion
Thomson TradeWeb, part of The Thomson Corporation , a leading global provider of integrated information solutions to professional customers, announced today that TradeWeb's 2nd quarter volume for its 12 online marketplaces surpassed $10.3 trillion -- up a remarkable 63% from the same period last year.
http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/050711/nym009.html?.v=12
RTS passes functional conformance for Liffe/eCBOT Version 9 First ISV To support Linux For LIFFE And eCBOT®
http://www.exchange-handbook.co.uk/news_story.cfm?id=53931
http://www.exchange-handbook.co.uk/news_story.cfm?id=53928
http://www.exchange-handbook.co.uk/news_story.cfm?id=53918
Deutsche Börse Reporter Online – July 2005
http://www.exchange-handbook.co.uk/news_story.cfm?id=53916
TSX Venture Exchange - June 2005 Statistics Report
http://www.exchange-handbook.co.uk/news_story.cfm?id=53915
Date of Letter |
Date Filed |
DCM |
Description |
07/08/2005 |
CME |
Composition of CME X-Fund Index Futures contracts: No CME X-Funds available for the July 22nd trading cycle. |
|
07/07/2005 |
NYMEX |
NYMEX Rule 8.55(A)(23) |
|
07/07/2005 |
NYMEX |
NYMEX Rule 6.90 |
|
07/07/2005 |
NYMEX |
NYMEX Rule 300.08 |
|
07/07/2005 |
NYMEX |
Listing of One Additional Year for Central Appalachian Coal. |
|
07/07/2005 |
HEDGESTREET |
HedgeStreet submits additional clarification to the Real-Time Account Funding Program, previously submitted to the Commission on June 9, 2005. |
|
Regulatory News
The SEC News Digest
The SEC News Digest provides daily information on recent Commission actions, including enforcement proceedings, rule filings, policy statements, and upcoming Commission meetings.
http://www.sec.gov/news/digest/dig070805.txt
CFTC Weekly Advisory
http://www.cftc.gov/opa/adv05/opawa28-05.htm
BCSC reprimands investment management firm
http://www.investmentexecutive.com/client/en/News/DetailNews.asp?Id=29599&IdSection=8&cat=8
Guilty plea on criminal charges in
Broker engaged in illegal late trading of funds on behalf of hedge fund clients
http://www.investmentexecutive.com/client/en/News/DetailNews.asp?Id=29598&IdSection=1&cat=1
http://www.bcsc.bc.ca/release.asp?id=2642
Operations Risk - Sarbanes-Oxley, How to Avoid Costly Mistakes
http://www.garp.com/risknews/newsfeed.asp?Category=6&MyFile=2005-07-11-11134.html
184 financial institutions lose customer data: FSA
_ The number of financial institutions which have lost customers' personal information has come to 184 as of last Friday, the commissioner of the Financial Services Agency said Monday.
http://asia.news.yahoo.com/050711/kyodo/d8b97png1.html
Morningstar gets SEC subpoena
The Securities and Exchange Commission has subpoenaed the consulting unit of Morningstar Inc. for information it offered to sellers of retirement plans, the investment research firm said.
http://www.suntimes.com/output/business/cst-fin-morn11.html
Managed Futures - Managed Funds
Hedge funds: a wild quarter
The once-high flying funds are struggling to make money as market conditions have gotten tougher. (Full story)
http://money.cnn.com/2005/07/11/markets/scandal_hedgefunds/
German banks warn against HF regulatory arbitrage
July-11-2005 - Harald Noack, deputy director of
http://www.marhedge.com/news/Cover.Hedge.asp?s=HedgeH-2005-07-10-12-57-10p1.htm
Kairos rolls out a Baltics fund
July-11-2005 - London-based Kairos Investment Management launched the Kairos North European Fund at the beginning of July
http://www.marhedge.com/news/Cover.Hedge.asp?s=HedgeH-2005-07-10-12-41-27p1.htm
Asian hedge fund assets to rise 38 pct in 05-report
HONG KONG, July 11 (Reuters) - Assets in Asian hedge funds should rise 38 percent to $90 billion this year, with plenty of room for more growth as Hong Kong and Singapore are growing rapidly, according to research firm Financial Insights.
http://sg.news.yahoo.com/050711/3/3te3b.html
Banks vie for hedge fund cash
Competition is heating up among international investment banks vying for the trading business of hedge funds, one of the fastest growing areas in finance.
http://www.thestandard.com.hk/stdn/std/Markets/GG11Ag01.html
Hedge fund owners paid £10m-plus each
The two owners of Marshall Wace, one of
http://news.ft.com/cms/s/7846b8e6-ef45-11d9-8b10-00000e2511c8.html
SSGA to grow alternatives “as fast as we can”- FT
IPE.com 11/Jul/05: GLOBAL – State Street Global Advisors plans to grow its alternatives business “as fast as we can”, according to an interview with State Street chief executive Ron Logue in the Financial Times.
http://www.ipe.com/article_default.asp?article=19078
NASDAQ Global Funds, Inc. Selects Alps Mutual Funds Services, Inc. To Inform Investment Professionals About Enhanced Portfolio Techniques Using QQQ
http://www.exchange-handbook.co.uk/news_story.cfm?id=53933
Reports
Bond Talk Today's Events
http://www.bondtalk.com/global.cfm?S=todaysevents
USDA Today
http://www.usda.gov/nass/PUBS/TODAYRPT/TODAY.HTM
Miscellaneous News
http://www.iht.com/articles/2005/07/10/business/yuan.php
CIBC World Markets says calls for aggressive 50 basis point cut may be heard in August
http://www.investmentexecutive.com/client/en/News/DetailNews.asp?Id=29596&IdSection=16&cat=16
Gellman: How to Keep Faith After the Bombs
How the wisdom of Psalm 23 can help us keep faith after the
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/8511912/site/newsweek/
TradeStation Group, Inc. Announces The Date For Its 2005 Second Quarter Earnings Conference Call
http://www.forbes.com/feeds/prnewswire/2005/07/11/prnewswire200507110740PR_NEWS_B_SET_FL_FLM099.html
Stephen Crawford Steps Down As Co-President of Morgan Stanley; Zoe Cruz Named Acting President
http://www.morganstanley.com/cgi-bin/morganstanley.com/pressroom.cgi?action=load&uid=428
Morgan Stanley Says Crawford Resigns as Co-President (Update2)
July 11 (Bloomberg) -- Morgan Stanley said co-President Stephen Crawford, who hitched his career to former Chairman and Chief Executive Philip Purcell, will leave the world's biggest securities firm.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000087&sid=aEVT1h3fowS8
ITG Releases June 2005
Investment Technology Group, Inc. , a leading provider of technology-based equity trading services and transaction research, today announced that
http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/050711/nym037.html?.v=16
At a time when oil prices fluctuate between 55 and 60 dollars, as happened last week, and the American light oil price closed, on Friday when Nymex closed on 59.10 dollars per barrel, the focus of the international oil production is on China’s future needs for raw material, particularly the role of its major companies in satisfying the country’s needs.
Judge: $100M Suit Against NASD Shows Height of 'Chutzpah'
By suing the National Association of Securities Dealers for $100 million in damages stemming from a disbarment, an ex-lawyer has set a new standard for "courtroom chutzpah," a judge said in dismissing the suit.
http://biz.yahoo.com/law/050711/4f9144da87ef41679becfd61f3871e26.html?.v=1
Bear Stearns Named Best Clearing Firm by Waters Magazine
Citing "combined leadership of technological capabilities and human expertise" Waters magazine named Bear Stearns the "Best Clearing" firm in their 2005 annual reader survey. Seven hundred readers from around the world were polled for the 2005 Waters Rankings issue.
http://biz.yahoo.com/bw/050711/115547.html?.v=1
Fundamental Brokers Resurrected
Fundamental Brokers, one of the major inter-dealers in the bond market heyday of the 1970s and 1980s, is back in play and fixed-income veteran Vinny Griffo, president, is leading the charge.
http://www.institutionalinvestor.com/default.asp?page=1&SID=524100&ISS=17383&type=23
Schwab Says 'I Don't'
http://www.fool.com/News/mft/2005/mft05070805.htm?source=eptyholnk303100&logvisit=y&npu=y
Other Voices
Today’s Other Voices contributions are some of the responses I received from readers of this newsletter. Though the sources are anonymous, they are all known by me or people I know and very reputable.
Feedback about Your Open Letter to CBOT Members
I agree that from a valuation perspective, they don't gain anything on a valuation basis by short-circuiting the IPO process.
I also believe strongly that the CBOT will be sold at some point. The reason is that, in my opinion, there are possibly HUGE cost savings in an exchange combination. As you know, the exchange economics are highly "fixed cost-variable revenue"-oriented. This could represent a several hundred million dollar valuation gain for an acquirer. CBOT is certainly not in a position to buy any of its three major public derivatives competitors.
Beyond the strict "cost synergy," aspect CBOT has huge strategic importance to each of the other three major futures exchanges. CBOT obviously uses Euronext/LIFFE's matching engine and represents an income stream to them.
Eurex has long coveted the
Consequently, if I were a seat holder I would worry that if there is no benefit to abandoning my leverage from a shareholder valuation perspective, could the justification be that they could get a more management friendly deal?
The only argument I could give for combining with CME prior to being a public company is that they still have a little more control over the process. They may want to ensure that they are sold to the CME rather than Euronext or Eurex. While they could still "choose" CME in the context of a competitive auction (think Verizon vs. Qwest in the MCI situation) it's a lot harder to do as a public company. As a public company, if management chooses a deal that is perceived as better for management, but worse for shareholders, there will be lawsuits against directors for violating fiduciary "Duty of Care" provisions, etc...
********
I hope that the CBOT disregards your well-considered advice and sells out to the Merc. Such an outcome with be good for the Chicago trading community and Chicago.
Once the CBOT is public it is still possible, but much harder for management to consider other stakeholders—such as the community and Chicago tradition—as well as the best price in evaluating offers.
Exchanges have definite economies of scale and further consolidation makes sense. The CBOT, due to lower growth and no clearing, is a more likely acquiree than acquirer.
The risk is that after going public, Eurex, Liffe or NYSE might be willing or able to outbid the CME for the CBOT.
I think that the CBOT would be doing a service to the industry, to the traditions of futures, and to
*******
I agree with most of your comments re: the CBOT IPO but for different reasons.
1. Should the CBOT be considering a merger of sorts with another business entity such as the CME whose shares become the CME's "currency" the CBOT must wait until the MARKET determines what its market capitalization is. To not do so would only mean that either management or the membership (sometimes privately known as the Flat Earth Society) think that they are more knowledgeable respecting the proper valuation of the CBOT "A" ( I believe) shares. Yeh .......... right. Really dumb.
2. People forget that only about 9% of the CBOT's shares will be floated in this IPO. There is literally a
3. Just about everyone has underestimated the branding power of the Chicago Board of Trade moniker. People in
4. I hope that the CBOT is relying heavily on the advice of outside financial advisors. I like Bernie and have known Chris Malo for 20 years; neither of them even begin to know their way around corporate finance issues. Great industry guys .......... but with NO M&A experience.
*******
Good write up on the CBOT .. I share your views about the fact that there is nothing that cannot be done after the IPO that can be done before... and the market is keen to buy shares in exchanges.. so they should get a good run if they do the IPO...
********
Selling CME shares at a $10bn valuation and buying CBOT memberships at a sub $2.5bn valuation has to be one of the best futures market spread trades ever. Not to say CME is overvalued on an absolute basis but it certainly seems that way on a relative basis. A fully profit oriented CBOT should be worth 60-80% of what CME is worth. And if volatility shifts from front end of the curve to back, maybe even 90-100% or more. Are CBOT members so desperate to fully monetize their memberships (or do they lack faith in their mgmt) that they'll sell out to CME for a lot less (and thus hand CME shareholders the value that they'd get if they were just patient!)???
John's Comments
Brent Crude Watch
IPE Brent Volume: 160,363
NYMEX Brent Crude Volume: 5324
NYMEX Percent of Total Volume: 3.21%
********
Percent Electronic
CBOT: 63.08%
CME: 74.58%
CME Eurodollars: 88.72%
CME Live Cattle: .27%
CME Currency Products: 85.69%
CBOT Soybeans: 4.28%
CBOT Options: 5.63%
CME Options: 10.89%
Volume
OneChicago Volume: 13,300
Eurex
Euronext.liffe Eurodollar Volume: 14,798
CBOE Futures Exchange Volume: 430
Market Share
CBOT 100 oz. Gold Volume: 1324
NYMEX 100 oz. Gold Volume: 50,530
CBOT Share: 2.55%
CBOT 5000 oz. Silver Volume: 94
NYMEX 5000 oz. Silver Volume: 15,124
CBOT Share: .62%
CBOT Mini Gold Volume: 506
CBOT Mini Silver Volume: 308
CME Emini Russell 1000 (100X) Volume: 2494
Eurex
NYBOT Mini Russell 1000 (50X) Volume: 383
CFE Mini Russell 1000 (100X) Volume: 0
CME Emini Russell 2000 Volume: 117,313
Eurex
CFE Mini Russell 2000 Volume: 35
Notes: The CME traded 97 Lean Hogs on Globex Friday.
Liffe Eurodollar Over-Under
Liffe/Globex: .92%
Liffe/CME: .81%
Regards,
John J. Lothian
Publisher
John Lothian Newsletter
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Disclaimer: The John Lothian Newsletter is a product of John J. Lothian & Company, Inc. The opinions expressed are strictly the opinion of John Lothian, and not necessarily those of his employer, The Price Group and its management, and is intended solely for informative purposes and is not to be construed, under any circumstances, by implication or otherwise, as an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy or trade in any commodities or securities herein named. Information is obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted. Security futures are not suitable for all customers.
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