John Lothian's Daily Futures & Securities Industry Newsletter

 

January 28, 2003

 

Lead Stories

 

CBOT, Euronext discuss link up  -Financial Times, Jan 28, 2003 -By Jeremy Grant in Chicago
The Chicago Board of Trade and Euronext-Liffe are in talks about collaborating on product development for the two exchanges...
http://search.ft.com/search/article.html?id=030128000507&query=futures+trading+exchange&vsc_appId=totalSearch&state=Form

LSE to buy financial data software firm
http://www.forbes.com/home_europe/newswire/2003/01/28/rtr860884.html

 

NYBOT’s Sugar No. 11 Contract Continues Streak
http://www.nybot.com/pressRelease.asp?releaseID=540

 

NYBOT Announces New FINEX, NYFE and CSCE Margin Requirements
http://www.nybot.com/pressRelease.asp?releaseID=539

 

Another snafu for Merc 'Eagle' plan
http://www.chicagobusiness.com/cgi-bin/news.pl?id=7744

 

The Philadelphia Stock Exchange Responds to Securities and Exchange Commission's Request to Eliminate Payment for Order Flow
http://www.phlx.com/news/pr2003/03pr0127a.html

 

Investment Banks Feel Chill of War Worry (Reuters)
...Cuts that have seen 50 percent of staff disappear at some banks could slice deeper if fears of a prolonged equity market paralysis come to pass,...... prolonged equity market paralysis come to pass, Claudio Aguirre, chairman of European investment banking at Merrill Lynch, told Reuters.......Josef Ackermann, chief executive of Deutsche Bank AG, said a quick and successful military operation in Iraq was likely to be positive for...
http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/nm/20030127/bs_nm/financial_davos_dc_1

Why $1.5 Bil Wall St. Settlement Won't Boost Quality Of Research (Investor's Business Daily)
...That number is now closer to 10%, thanks in part to NASD rules that took effect in September....
http://biz.yahoo.com/ibd/030128/feature_1.html

 

Exchange News

 

IntercontinentalExchange (UK) Granted Arranger Status By FSA
http://www.riskcenter.com/cgi-bin/article.pl?id=6125

 

IntercontinentalExchange (UK), Ltd. Granted Arranger Status by FSA
http://www.theice.com/press/20030127.html

 

CBOT Strike Price Notice, January 24, 2003 - 01.27.2003
http://www.cbot.com/cbot/www/cont_detail/0,1493,10+24+268+10790,00.html

 

CBOT/ Dow Jones Strike Price Notice, January 24, 2003 - 01.27.2003
http://www.cbot.com/cbot/www/cont_detail/0,1493,10+24+268+10791,00.html

 

Modification to a/c/e One-for-One Fee Credit Program - 01.27.2003
http://www.cbot.com/cbot/www/cont_detail/0,1493,10+24+268+10792,00.html

 

January 2003 Fed Watch - 01.27.2003
In advance of the January 29 Federal Open Market Committee meeting, the Chicago Board of Trade is reporting daily rate change probabilities in the FOMC's federal funds target rate, as indicated by the CBOT 30-Day Federal Funds futures contract.
http://www.cbot.com/cbot/www/cont_detail/0,1493,10+24+null+10712,00.html

 

OneChicago Single Stock Futures - Corporate Events Alert: Microsoft Stock Split - Effective Tuesday, February 18, 2003.
http://www.cme.com/risk_management/secure.cme.com/advisory_notices/shownotice.cfm?NoticeID=0004FE5F-D220-1E31-92AB80EDBEFBED80

 

Corporate Event Circular 1-2003 Microsoft Corp 2-for-1 Split 02/18/03
http://www.nqlx.com/NQLX/Publications/NQLX%20Corp%20Event%20Circular%2001-2003%20Microsoft.pdf

 

Regulatory News

 

FORMER DYNEGY MARKETING AND TRADE EMPLOYEE CHARGED WITH COMMODITY DECEPTION AND WIRE FRAUD;
Former Natural Gas Trader Charged Criminally Under the Commodity Exchange Act With Intentionally Reporting False Natural Gas Price and Volume Information to Energy Reporting Firms in an Attempt to Affect Prices of Natural Gas Contracts
http://www.cftc.gov/opa/enf03/opa4744-03.htm

IRS takes close look at offshore deferral schemes
http://biz.yahoo.com/ft/030127/1042491251325_1.html

 

CFTC,FERC seek to ease energy industry credit woes
http://www.forbes.com/markets/newswire/2003/01/22/rtr855540.html

Investor-Protection Obligations of NASD Members Re: Hedge Funds
http://www.hedgeworld.com/news/read_news.cgi?section=dail&story=dail9655.html


U.S. scrutiny for Wall Street credit-rating agencies
http://www.suntimes.com/output/business/cst-fin-sec28.html

 

FBI's new breed runs hot on Enron's trail (USA TODAY)
... seventh-largest corporation collapsed like a house of cards, leaving investors, employees and trading partners out of luck.......The Enron investigators ''are the future of the FBI,'' says Ford....... the agents have been working closely with investigators from the Securities and Exchange Commission, led by Linda Thomsen, and IRS agents, headed by Jack Harris....
http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/usatoday/20030128/bs_usatoday/4814837

 

NASD Names Nick Bannister Managing Director For International Affairs and Services
http://www.nasdr.com/news/pr2003/release_03_005.html

 

Paula Dubberly Named Associate Director (Legal) in SEC's Division Of Corporation Finance
http://www.sec.gov/news/press/2003-14.htm

 

Shelley Parratt Named Deputy Director in SEC's Division of Corporation Finance
http://www.sec.gov/news/press/2003-15.htm

The SEC News Digest
http://www.sec.gov/news/digest/dig012703.txt

 

Chairs of BC and Ontario securities commissions present their plans for regulatory reform to Canada's miners
http://www.bcsc.bc.ca/news/NR03_08.asp


MFA submits two comment letters on proposed IRS/Treasury tax shelter regulations (12/24/02 & 1/16/03)
http://www.mfainfo.org/images/pdf/tax_shelter_final.pdf

 

Former Arthur Andersen Auditor Settle SEC Charges
http://www.garp.com/risknews/newsfeed.asp?Category=6&MyFile=2003-01-28-6124.html

i2 faces SEC accounting probe, CNet
http://www.atmarkets.org/inc/linkcount.asp?id=-1512253033&url=http%3A%2F%2Fnews%2Ecom%2Ecom%2F2100%2D1017%2D982331%2Ehtml%3Ftag%3Dcd%5Fmh

 

CEOs Lead SEC's Book-Cooking Parade (Reuters)
...The SEC said CEOs and presidents were charged in 111 out of 227 investigations of improper financial...
http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/nm/20030128/bs_nm/financial_sec_enforcement_dc_2

 

SEC settles over Sunbeam (FT.com)
...The SEC has alleged that Sunbeam was riddled with illegal conduct including the booking of inappropriate...
http://biz.yahoo.com/ft/030127/1042491264903_1.html

 

SEC Seeks New Powers Against Law Breakers (Reuters)
...In a report to Congress, the SEC said it was already channeling fine revenues into new restitution funds for cheated investors...
http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/nm/20030127/ts_nm/financial_sec_collection_dc_4

 

Broker loses suit filed by investor MORGAN STANLEY ORDERED TO PAY $1.7 MILLION
Arbitrators ordered Morgan Stanley Dean Witter to pay $1.7 million to a former San Francisco employee of America Online to resolve her complaint that her broker cost her millions of dollars by improperly investing her money in risky securities.
http://www.bayarea.com/mld/mercurynews/5047355.htm

 

Reports

 

Bond Talk Today's Events
http://www.bondtalk.com/global.cfm?S=todaysevents

 

USDA Today
http://www.usda.gov/nass/PUBS/TODAYRPT/TODAY.HTM

 

Miscellaneous News

 

ITG to Add After Hours Cross (Business Wire)
Investment Technology Group, Inc. , a leading provider of technology based equity trading services, today announced plans to launch an after hours cross in mid February. The POSIT equity matching system will run the after hours cross once nightly after 6:30 PM Eastern Standard Time.
http://biz.yahoo.com/bw/030128/280063_1.html

 

eSignal Creates New Learning Tool and Adds Market Depth with Nasdaq SuperMontage (Business Wire)
... such as Learning Mode, a tool that enables eSignal traders to fine tune their trading strategies by replaying the day's trading after hours," said Chuck Thompson,......Single Stock Futures: Enables subscribers to follow single stock futures from OneChicago,...... and delayed services from the U.S. and international markets in one product, saving money on exchange fees....
http://biz.yahoo.com/bw/030128/282093_1.html

 

Hedge Fund Launch, LLC Reveals Landscape of Start-Up Hedge Fund Universe (InternetWire)
...Most managers also understand the necessity to relinquish equity in their operation in exchange for seed capital....... 61% of managers purport to have an audited or auditable track record of their past trading experience....... 15% non-directional arbitrage, 13% global (which includes managed futures), 13% multiple strategies, 2% event driven, and 19% other strategies that do not readily fit...
http://biz.yahoo.com/iw/030128/050611.html

 

An emotional look at Cantor Fitzgerald's recovery (USA TODAY)
On Top of the World: Cantor Fitzgerald, Howard Lutnick & 9/11: A Story of Loss & Renewal is dedicated to the 658 employees of the stock and bond-trading firm who died that tragic day. Their names, in three columns, fill 6 1/2 pages. Just turning those pages, one after another, is a poignant beginning.
http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/usatoday/20030127/en_bo_usatoday/4811996

 

Responding to suit, special master defends Sept. 11 victim compensation fund (AP)
...All seven plaintiffs are relatives of bond brokerage Cantor Fitzgerald employees who died in the Sept. 11 attack....
http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/ap/20030128/ap_wo_en_po/na_gen_us_attacks_victims_fund_2

 

Families file suit against special master of Sept. 11 victim compensation fund (AP)
...All seven plaintiffs are relatives of Cantor Fitzgerald employees who died in the Sept. 11 attack....
http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/ap/20030127/ap_wo_en_po/na_gen_us_attacks_victims_fund_1


Man Group Raised to `Trading Buy' at Numis Securities
Man Group Plc (EMG LN) was raised to ``trading buy'' from ``hold'' by analyst Justin Bates at Numis Securities Ltd.
http://quote.bloomberg.com/fgcgi.cgi?T=quote/uk/uk_quote_long_news.ht&s=APjZjphLlTWFuIEdy

 

New faces appear in metals market 
Gold hit $372 a troy ounce in London morning trading yesterday, while global stock markets fell and the FTSE 100 went into...
http://search.ft.com/search/article.html?id=030128000474&query=futures+trading+exchange&vsc_appId=totalSearch&state=Form

 

Web Cast of Henry M. Paulson Jr. at Salomon Smith Barney 2003 Financial Services Conference
http://www.gs.com/broadcasts/ssb01282003

 

Jobs axe falls on Cazenove
Investment bank Cazenove, the Queen's stockbroker, has become the latest City institution to suffer from the weakening stock markets. The bank has cut 90 jobs from its London office, representing 8% of its staff.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/2480039.stm

 

John's Comments

 

CBOT Mini Dow Hits Higher High, CBOT to Launch Fed Fund Options

 

The Chicago Board of Trade's Mini Dow contract traded a single day volume record again yesterday, jumping over the 30,000 level to a total of 33,141 contracts yesterday.  The $10 multiplier mostly pit traded Dow traded a total of 25,862 contracts.  Open interest in both contracts climbed.

 

After consulting with a savvy market watcher this morning, it was suggested to me that the focus on the Blue Chips as a measure of the U.S. economy was aiding the Dow complex and the Mini Dow volume.  The fact the Dow is 30 stocks gives investors and traders a narrower based index to trade, with more specific risk and sectors focuses.  The growing proliferation of ETF sector funds listed on options exchanges, and some futures exchanges, would support this idea.  The CME has two S&P sector fund futures contracts, FINANCIAL SECT & TECH-COMM SECT.  OneChicago has previously announced their own list of narrow based indices.  

 

The Mini Dow is also being aided by the "aggressive marketing/advertising campaign" for the Mini Dow in the fourth quarter of 2002 and the liquidity provided by the designated Electronic Market Makers, according to CBOT President Bernie Dan at a press conference today.

 

Mr. Dan also spoke about the performance of the Dow Jones AIG commodity index that increased 23.86% in value in 2002, while many leading equity indices experienced declines.  "This performance illustrates the benefits of portfolio diversification and exposure to assets with a negative correlation to equities," the CBOT's President said.

 

At the press conference the CBOT unveiled plans to launch options on Fed Funds on March 14.  The Fed Fund options will only trade in the pit at this time.  This is due to two factors.  One factor is that most options at the CBOT are currently traded in the pit and this is the best place a to start.  The Fed Fund options will be traded in a section of the bond option pit.  The other factor has to due with the limits of the CBOT's current matching engine technology.  That factor should be eliminated once the CBOT moves to the LIFFE.Connect matching engine.

 

The CBOT also announced that ABN Amro have been signed as market makers in the 5-year and 10-year Agency Note futures pit and will make two sided markets no wider than 2/32nds for no less than 250 contracts.

 

Here is the CBOT press release on the Fed Funds:

 

Fed Funds Options to Launch March 14
The CBOT is expanding its successful Fed Funds complex by introducing Options on CBOT Fed Funds futures. Options on CBOT Fed Funds futures will offer an important risk management tool for anyone who wants to hedge against, or speculate on, changes in short-term interest rates brought about by changes in Federal Reserve monetary policy. The new contract will begin trading on Friday, March 14, in the open auction marketplace.
http://www.cbot.com/cbot/www/cont_detail/0,1493,10+24+109+10807,00.html

 

Commodity

a/c/e
Volume

Open Outcry
Volume

Total Exch
Volume

Cash
Exch

Give
Ups

Trans

Open Interest

At Close

Change

Dow Jones Industrial Average

1467

24395

25862

0

5425

220

28480

+694

Dow Jones AIG Commodity Index

15

0

15

0

0

0

1418

+15

CBOT mini-sized Dow Futures $5 multiplier

33141

0

33141

0

4170

2

14748

+808

 

************

 

Globex Rules while Eagle Struggles

 

For the second day in a row more contracts were traded on the CME's Globex matching engine than in its open outcry pits.  Globex traded 1,215,153 contracts yesterday to 1,027,144 contract traded via open outcry.  The Eagle matching engine, which was shut down for much of the pit trading session yesterday, was successfully restarted yesterday afternoon.  However, EAGLE was again shut down this morning at 6:45 AM.  It was restarted at 9 AM today.

 

According to CME media relations sources the cause of yesterday's problems was an "order processing" issue that had not arisen during the extensive mock trading the CME had conducted.  A work around was created yesterday to re-launch trading and a full fix was developed overnight to be applied today. 

 

Despite these problems, the CME traded 19,474 Eurodollar contracts on EAGLE yesterday, the CME sources said.

 

The CME also saw an open interest record yesterday in Milk futures, which increased 61 contracts to a record 22,361.  The E-Midcap set a daily volume record at 5877 contracts.  Lean Hogs had Globex volume of 27 contracts yesterday and the Emini S&P had volume of 811,357.

 

***********

 

SSF Round Up

 

Nasdaq Liffe Markets traded 7,552 single stock futures contracts yesterday, with open interest increasing 531 to 23,418.  OneChicago traded 4534 single stock futures and ETF futures contracts yesterday, with open interest increasing 498 to 54,762.

 

Regards,

 

John J. Lothian

 

President

Electronic Trading Division

The Price Futures Group, Inc.

Chicago Board of Trade Building

141 West Jackson Blvd., Suite 1340A

Chicago, IL  60604

Ph: 1-800-713-0215 or 312-648-2426

Fax: 312-902-6437

email: jlothian@pricegroup.com

URL: www.pricegroupetd.com or www.pricegroup.com

 

Disclaimer: This letter is strictly the opinion of its writer, and not necessarily those of The Price Group and its management, and is intended solely for informative purposes and is not to be construed, under any circumstances, by implication or otherwise, as an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy or trade in any commodities or securities herein named. Information is obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but is in no way guaranteed.  No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future conditions are attempted.  Security futures are not suitable for all customers.

Futures and options trading involve risk.  Past results are no indication of future performance.